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What does the Power Law tell us about the peak in the next 6 months or so?
Conservative assumption. We hit 292K end of year as our peak (below all previous peaks).
This corresponds to a 0.4 shift in trendline in log space
1/3

Aggressive assumption, we get to 463K.
This is at the 0.6 shift level.
Could we even do more?
2/3

Here's the ultra agressive case. The intercept is moved by 0.8 in log space. We hit 735K. Not impossible.
What's the size of the next bump? Not really statistically clear. 3/3

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