for any one that wants to learn the dark arts of probabilistic forecasting or prediction market arbitrage, this guide is great resource for you to start from
we're developing an open knowledge base to strengthen prediction market community
firm believer that all new asset classes / market structures have a golden age. when markets are not yet mature but experience steep capital inflows & adoption, there are lots of opportunities for those who pay close attention, printing generational winners
mark my words: some of the most performant liquid funds of the next 2 decades will be dedicated to prediction market strategies.
Ether is back near the upper end of its trading range again. If you own any, this is a great time to sell. As much as it pains me to say, selling Ether and buying Bitcoin with the proceeds is a better trade than holding Ether.