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David Shor
Head of Data Science at Blue Rose Research, based in NYC, originally from Miami. I try to elect Democrats. Views are my own. he/him🌹
David Shor kirjasi uudelleen
New blog post!
"There is a silent majority in America"
Once again I'm looking at this awesome high-response rate mail survey the NYT ran in 2022 and what it says about the actual shape of the electorate. The silent majority is real and it's distrustful moderates.
Link below!

21,49K
An analysis showing non-white voters disproportionately swung right in the last Dutch election as well

Asher van der Schelde15.7. klo 03.06
Analyse @davidshor toont dat buurten met veel niet-witte inwoners in London, NYC & Toronto in sterkere mate uitwijken naar rechts dan buurten met veel witte inwoners.
Ik heb die analyse toegepast op Amsterdam en daar ontstaat hetzelfde patroon.

14,26K
Adding this incredible chart from @DKThomp to the mix.
There has been an enormous decline in in-person socialization that has corresponded with massive declines in mental wellbeing and dramatic increases in selfishness and political radicalism over the past decade.


David Shor4.6.2025
We’ve seen:
1) a dramatic short term increase in diagnosed mental illness and N-linked psychometric items first among teenagers and then among young adults
2) highly cohort specific bipartisan support for cold blooded murder mediated by (1)
3) A sudden and dramatic shift in preferences toward making money and away from family after ~30 years of stability
4) probably the fastest change in media consumption in the history of the world
5) Dramatic increases in time spent alone across and simultaneous declines in coupling rates and fertility rates in nearly every country in the world.
I think (5) is probably related to all of the other things and the broader context points to this being something bigger than a misspecified period-cohort model.




325,24K
Adding this incredible chart from @DKThomp to the mix here.
We’ve seen more cultural change in the last decade than any other period since the 60’s and a lot of that change seems bad.

Arpit Gupta9.7. klo 18.55
Nice @DKThomp post on why people don’t party anymore. Related to workism, intensive parenting, and screens.
The story on screens is nuanced - expanding our connections to some direct family/friends, as well as distant parasocial relations, at the cost of community




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