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I AM ONCE AGAIN ASKING:
What’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do in <2 years?
Get your prediction on the record now or shut up.
19.7. klo 15.52
Today, we at @OpenAI achieved a milestone that many considered years away: gold medal-level performance on the 2025 IMO with a general reasoning LLM—under the same time limits as humans, without tools. As remarkable as that sounds, it’s even more significant than the headline 🧵
I’ll start: Kill everyone
@GaryMarcus I think it’s 49% likely in 2 years (vs. your ~10%), 60% likely in 3 years.
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