OpenAI receives on average 1 query per American per day. Google receives about 4 queries per American per day. Since then 50% of Google search queries have AI Overviews, this means at least 60% of US searches are now AI. It’s taken a bit longer than I expected for this to happen. In 2024, I predicted that 50% of consumer search would be AI-enabled. ( But AI has arrived in search. If Google search patterns are any indication, there’s a power law in search behavior. SparkToro’s analysis of Google search behavior shows the top third of Americans who search execute upwards of 80% of all searches - which means AI use isn’t likely evenly distributed - like the future. Websites & businesses are starting to feel the impacts of this. The Economist’s piece “AI is killing the web. Can anything save it?” captures the zeitgeist in a headline. ( A supermajority of Americans now search with AI. The second-order effects from changing search patterns are coming in the second-half of this year & more will be asking, “What Happened to My Traffic?” ( AI is a new distribution channel & those who seize it will gain market share. - William Gibson saw much further into the future! - This is based on a midpoint analysis of the SparkToro chart, is a very simple analysis, & has some error as a result.
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