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Let’s just do some basic math.
If ~25% of CPI is impacted by imports.
And if the average tariff rate has gone up 15% in the U.S. since last year.
And if Americans are paying 90% of the increase, while foreigners are paying 10%.
Then. 15% x 90% =13.5%
25 + 13.5% =28.37
$25 of 2024 CPI becomes $28 in 2025.
And if the other $75 grows at the typical 3%, that gets you to $77.
77 + 28 = $105.
That’s already 5% annual inflation right there.
There’s just no way around this simple math.
Prove me wrong if you can.
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