OpenAI claims that yes AI will eliminate some jobs, but some new jobs will be created too I'd like to see their estimates of these. How many new jobs are we talking?
OpenAI's own widely-cited analysis of AI economic impact finds risks of double-digit job deplacement Obviously this isn't certain, but I kind of doubt that "data center workers" is a big enough new job category to make up for this
An issue with OpenAI's more recent economic work is that it often doesn't solve for the equilibrium. If AI makes it so easy to create and operate a new business, will ordinary people really have enough edge to "gain power over their economic destiny"?
In other settings, OpenAI does seem to hit on the important question: How will the economic gains from AI be split? If we avoid the major risks, AI will almost certainly cause economic gains *for someone*, but I'm pretty doubtful it's "ordinary workers".
(I'm aware that OpenAI recently announced that it is researching ChatGPT's impact on the economy. I hope that this work confronts the downsides for individual workers more directly, not just talking about the opportunities)
Meanwhile, the non-economic parts of this memo are stronger. Pushing healthcare forward is good, as is gaining time back for people's lives. But I'm not so sure that AI will bring "economic freedom" or tremendous "empowerment", at least not in the directions we're heading.
11,16K