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When the next @federalreserve chair revises the inflation target to 3%, don't say you weren't warned by visionaries like Mohamed El-Erian and I.
Make sure your portfolio is properly positioned for this Fourth Turning risk before it's too late. #KISS #DrMo❤️

31.7.2025
The latest data for the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, core PCE, shows inflation at 2.8%.
Most reporting will note that inflation remains stubbornly above the Fed's 2% target, more than four years after its initial surge which peaked at 7% (9.1% for headline consumer price inflation).
Less commonly discussed is whether it still makes sense for the Fed to adhere to a 2% target in an economy undergoing significant supply-side transformations. It has even been excluded from the Fed’s review of its monetary policy framework, scheduled to conclude in the next few weeks.
Few seem willing to examine a question central to economic well-being — whether, by applying fundamental analysis to today’s rapidly changing economic landscape, the Fed would still conclude that 2% is the appropriate benchmark.
#economy #inflation #federalreserve #markets

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