The Bitcoin Monthly report for June is out! Thread below.
Bitcoin still holds the line. At the end of June, bitcoin’s price was above its short-term-holder (STH) cost basis, its 200-day moving average, and its on-chain mean—$98,888, $96,278, and $71,393, respectively.
The percentage of long-term holders (LTHs) hit a 15-year high at 74% of the total bitcoin supply.
MVRV Momentum is close to its zero line, suggesting that its momentum may turn negative if price does not continue its upward trajectory, a warning sign if price were to contract.
Global liquidity relative to bitcoin supply has reached a 12-year high, with ~$5.7 million in global M2 supply per bitcoin in circulation.
Bitcoin dominance climbed to levels not seen since late 2020, hitting ~65% of the total crypto market capitalization. The trend reflects a growing conviction in bitcoin’s product-market fit.
On the macro side, challenging fears of currency weakness and persistent inflation, the USD dollar—as measured by the Federal Reserve's broad-based trade-weighted index—has held much firmer than the narrow-based US Dollar Index (DXY), while inflation has resumed its decline. Housing market sentiment remains disconnected from the hard data, with home-owners expecting price gains despite lower new home sale prices.
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