“Safe” bets are actually risky bets to me. Safe = Consensus Consensus = Obvious, not a big enough stretch. Consensus will be done by the big companies before a startup is able to build its market. There was an era when everyone loved traditional brokers. That was the ‘safe’ investment. So I invested in @RobinhoodApp. When no US car company had succeeded for 50 years, I invested in @Tesla. When self-driving cars was unthinkable, I invested in Cruise (acquired by General Motors ( @GM )). When traditional media was still the norm, I invested in @Twitch. And of course… when the U.S. dollar is the “pinnacle of stability,” I went all in on @Bitcoin. If everyone agrees with your investment choices… you're already too late.