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ASR-VC indicator 4h channel status update:
During the live voting last night, 70%+ of people said that they needed to live broadcast, to be honest, I felt that there were a lot of short-term shorts, and the price was affected by fake news in the second half of the night, briefly breaking through 12w, and only pulling back after catching a wave of liquidity...
From the perspective of the 4h channel, it seems that the yellow line on the oscillation channel has been tested, and since it is currently blocked again, it can be confirmed that the market has completely entered the volatile market!
During the live broadcast on @Sidekick_Labs last night, we talked about such a big cycle view, that is, this wave of market has buried a hidden danger, that is, "kinetic energy divergence"!
This makes the BTC bull trend we are experiencing now structurally more like a continuation of the 74,000 rise rather than a new trend like the one at the end of '23 and '24...
Considering that the tariff deadline will be held again on August 1, the market is likely to gradually worry about the progress of negotiations in this regard from these two weeks.
Therefore, it is concluded that it is difficult for the current market to get out of the new trend from the perspective of expectations, and there is a high probability that it will remain high and fluctuate until August.
So back to the current market, my idea is to completely enter the volatile market to do it.
22.7. klo 14.46
ASR-VC indicator 4h channel status update:
$BTC The 4h line officially tested the middle track of the channel last night, and the middle track is also the demand area for the first pullback on the left, at present, the support is effective, if you want to maintain the large-level bullish trend, the price needs to have the ability to get out of a higher high (120k);
On the other hand, the spot premium index is still at a low level, but it has rebounded, and it seems that it can be felt that a large amount of spot supply has been consumed after this wave of new highs.
The current idea has become very clear, as long as the price can be maintained above the middle track, it can continue to be bullish, and here it is completely possible to consider a false break below the middle track;
Because there is a lot of long liquidity at the 115k position, even if the price pin falls below the demand zone and the middle track, as long as it can be quickly recovered and does not confirm the breakdown, then it is a good long opportunity;
But if the price finally confirms that it has fallen below the middle track and comes out of the descending triangle in the figure, then the large-level bullish trend is completely over... The short-term target will be given along the blue line (112k) below the channel.
In short, trading is to gamble at the key position, the price is close to the middle track or the pin demand area, which is the so-called key position, you should bet, the big deal is to fall below the stop loss...
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