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Fed officials expect they will need to resume lowering interest rates eventually—they just aren’t ready to do it this week. The questions dividing them center on what evidence they need to see first, and whether waiting for that clarity turns out to be a mistake.
The Fed was united when officials paused cuts this year after tariffs raised fears of renewed inflation. But with tariff-related price hikes proving milder than feared and signs that hiring may be softening, officials are now fractured into three camps over whether to resume cuts
The focus will be whether Powell offers any hint of a September rate cut in his press conference Wednesday afternoon, and whether in the coming days and weeks his colleagues begin laying the groundwork for a cut at their next gathering.
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