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Rencana tarif dikurangi sedikit, tetapi pasar bergerak terlalu banyak. Saham vs obligasi kembali ke level sebelum pemilihan. Tidak ada kebijakan pertumbuhan negatif dari admin baru yang diperhitungkan pada saat ini.
Memudar: Obligasi panjang vs. saham dengan risiko 50% untuk memulai.
10 Apr 2025
Looks like time to start selling the rip. Even with this relaxation of tariffs, the combo of CHN + across the board 10% + sectoral tariffs is still a big drag ahead.
Unless you think tariffs are pretty much over, these moves are likely far too positive given what is coming.
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