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Ik denk niet dat mensen zich realiseren hoeveel kleine bedrijven er in Amerika zijn - slechts $10-100M aan omzet is 175k+, waarvan 5-10% elk jaar van eigenaar wisselt.
Ja, er zijn veel "makelaars" / LMM-banken - maar zij maken minder dan 20% uit van alle gesloten deals in de sector.
De rest wordt vandaag de dag grotendeels DIY gedaan door bedrijfseigenaren (wat zeer winstgevend is geweest voor private equity).


4 aug, 22:11
Very interesting discussion here around the future of investment banking and AI
Some thoughts
> Grok estimates that roughly 18,000 businesses in the U.S. generate $1-10M in profit
> Businesses of this size are typically valued at 3-5x EBITDA, on average, based on transaction data available
> With 18,000 businesses (midpoint) and using the average EBITDA multiple + transaction fee of 5% on the TEV, total whitespace market here is nearly $19B, conservatively
> As Offdeal ramps up, they will certainly start competing for larger deals but absolutely insane to me that a $19B market today has been left alone by existing banks. Essentially a land grab today
> It totally makes sense that a lot of investment banks won’t have integrated AI solutions. They will likely shop around for point solution vendors across the AI spectrum, and end up with a cluster of different tools
> Today, CRM at most banks don’t properly connect to the VDR. The excel models don’t connect up to a database of transactions. Transcripts from calls don’t integrate with DD trackers sent to buyers. I don’t see why traditional banks would get any better at this when AI comes into play
> For most investment banks, tech is essentially an after thought. The MDs (who make the decisions) are not the ones who use the technology (analysts and associates do). There is a massive mismatch between end user and decision maker. OffDeal is solving this problem directly by building a tech focused bank from ground up
Exciting times to live in
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