After Powell's first public appearance this week, he did not respond to the Trump team's attacks. My conclusion at the time was that not responding is the best response, maintaining a tough stance. Many people didn't understand it then, but looking at Trump's actions now, it's clear! It shows that Bessent stated he meets with Powell for breakfast every day, indicating a friendly relationship between the two, or suggesting that the Trump team has been in communication with Powell. Secondly, Trump's visit to the Federal Reserve today is a friendly signal to Powell, Trump: "I’ve given you an opportunity, let’s have a good talk?" From a god's-eye view, doesn't this align again with Trump's "negotiation skills"? Just like tariffs, first comes a big tariff stick, then gradually easing up to show goodwill, in exchange for his own conditions. The same goes for Powell, showing a massive attack, applying pressure, and then lowering his stance to show goodwill, all to make Powell soften up. Of course, Master Powell really didn’t fall for this, forcing Trump to TOAC again. In fact, this also supports the two points I mentioned earlier: 1. Trump has no real effective checks on Powell, and Powell himself should have the confidence to assert that he is "clean," so Trump has no good reason to sanction or impeach Powell. 2. As long as Powell withstands this wave of attacks, his own pressure will greatly decrease. Originally, I expected the pressure to ease only after July 30, but Trump clearly doesn’t want to sit idly by and has taken action directly. New speculation: Trump's rapid change in attitude shows that he genuinely wants Powell to ease the interest rate environment, so at this point, he can't worry about face or reputation, directly sending friendly signals to Powell. In simple terms, if being tough doesn’t work, then he’ll try being soft. However, I feel that Master Powell seems to be impervious to both soft and hard approaches, and if Trump’s goodwill doesn’t yield results in a few days, he might still end up criticizing Powell again. Powell's real safe period will have to wait until after the interest rate meeting on July 30.
Cato_KT
Cato_KT22.7. klo 18.35
Tonight, Powell will have the opportunity to respond for the first time in public to the pressure tests from Washington. Of course, the main reason for saying there is an opportunity is that it cannot be ruled out that Powell will once again use his "Tai Chi skills" to keep himself out of trouble. Currently, Powell seems to be in a situation where "all sides are enemies" and "surrounded on all fronts," but Powell himself knows that as long as he can hold out until July 30, all the pressure will ease. Entering August, Trump and his team will refocus on tariff issues, and before September, the only window for interest rate cuts will have closed. At that point, even if they manage to deal with Powell, there won't be much they can do—at most, it might increase the extent of the rate cut in September? Tonight, let's watch how Powell "debates the scholars." To be honest, as long as Powell can withstand Trump's pressure and survive until the economic transition without issues, then these will all be points in Powell's favor in American history! History is not short of stories where enemies have made "heroes!"
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