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I love @sparkdotfi, but at current levels, it feels seriously overpriced.
With $SPK trading at $0.14, that puts its FDV at around $1.4B.
Sure, Spark is one of the few apps with clear PMF and real revenues, but there are a couple of things the market seems to be missing.
1. Spark vs Sky Revenue Split
If you look at Spark’s official dashboard, it shows $244M in annualized revenue.
Sounds great, right? But here’s the catch: most of that revenue actually flows to Sky, not Spark.
Why? Because Spark operates using capital that @SkyEcosystem "allocates" to it. Spark is essentially borrowing capital from Sky to generate yield, and it only keeps a small portion of that yield.
Right now, everything still flows to Sky, but that’s changing soon.
According to Spark’s own numbers, they’re currently generating a 5.71% effective yield on $4.2B in capital “borrowed” from Sky.
Sky will soon begin charging a Base Rate of 4.37%, which means:
- 77% of Spark’s revenue will go to Sky
- Only 23% will stay with Spark
PS: This is "incentivized" Base Rate for Spark. Because BR is meant to be 30bps above the SSR.
So in theory, the rate should be 4.8%, not 4.37% — meaning even less revenue stays with Spark once that adjustment kicks in.
Keep in mind, these rates change often. Best to follow SP-BEAM updates on the Sky forum to stay in the loop.
2. $SKY Owns 65% of SPK Supply
This is a big one that many seem to overlook. Sky holds 65% of SPK’s total supply.
Why does that matter?
Because a higher SPK valuation increases the incentive value for USDS and SKY stakers.
In simple terms, the higher SPK goes, the less Sky has to spend on staking and savings rewards — which means higher profits for Sky.
Now compare valuations:
Spark FDV: $1.4B
Sky FDV: $2.7B
Does that make sense when Sky owns 65% of SPK’s tokens and 80% of its revenues?
Not really.
A repricing between $SPK and $SKY feels inevitable.
This kind of mispricing shows just how early we still are and how inefficient markets can be, even in projects with real traction.
The upside? There's a lot of alpha still hiding in plain sight.
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